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Peak Civilisation is in the rear view mirror for most humans on the planet. Economies, lifestyles & environment are declining almost everywhere. Overpopulation, resource depletion, pollution & energy decline continue to exacerbate the problems. Available net energy is the determinant of the quality & complexity of civilisation. As the inexpensive, easy to get energy sources decline, disorder in human systems & the biosphere will increase.. Entropy (disorder, randomness) increases.
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Worse than the 1930s: Europe’s Recession is Really a Depression
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The Black Line in the Graph Above is Europe’s Current Recession measured against previous recessions. 
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As I was arguing last week, it’s time to call the eurozone what it really is: one of the biggest catastrophes in economic history.There have been plenty of those lately. And it’s not just the Great Recession. It’s the way we’ve struggled to make up the ground we lost since. The United States, for one, has had its slowest postwar recovery. Britain has had its slowest one, period. But, six and a half years later, Europe has distinguished itself by not having much of a recovery at all. And, as you can see above, that’s about to make it worse than the worst of the 1930s.I’ve taken the chart above from Nicholas Crafts, and extended it a bit to put Europe’s depression in, well, even more depressing perspective. Eurozone GDP still hasn’t gotten back to its 2007 level, and doesn’t look like it will anytime soon. Indeed, it already wasn’t clear if its last recession was even over before we found out the eurozone had stopped growingagain in the second quarter. And not even Germany has been immune: its GDP just fell 0.2 percent from the previous quarter.It’s a policy-induced disaster. Too much fiscal austerity and too little monetary stimulus have crippled growth like almost never before. Europe is doing worse than Japan during its “lost decade,” worse than the sterling bloc during the Great Depression, and barely better than the gold bloc then—though even that silver lining isn’t much of one. That’s because, at this rate, it’ll only be another year until the eurozone is well behind the gold bloc, too.So how is Europe making the Great Depression look like the good old days of growth? Easy: by ignoring everything we learned from it.
From; http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2014/08/20/worse-than-the-1930s-europes-recession-is-really-a-depression/

Worse than the 1930s: Europe’s Recession is Really a Depression
________________________________________
The Black Line in the Graph Above is Europe’s Current Recession measured against previous recessions. _______________________________________ As I was arguing last week, it’s time to call the eurozone what it really is: one of the biggest catastrophes in economic history.There have been plenty of those lately. And it’s not just the Great Recession. It’s the way we’ve struggled to make up the ground we lost since. The United States, for one, has had its slowest postwar recovery. Britain has had its slowest one, period. But, six and a half years later, Europe has distinguished itself by not having much of a recovery at all. And, as you can see above, that’s about to make it worse than the worst of the 1930s.I’ve taken the chart above from Nicholas Crafts, and extended it a bit to put Europe’s depression in, well, even more depressing perspective. Eurozone GDP still hasn’t gotten back to its 2007 level, and doesn’t look like it will anytime soon. Indeed, it already wasn’t clear if its last recession was even over before we found out the eurozone had stopped growingagain in the second quarter. And not even Germany has been immune: its GDP just fell 0.2 percent from the previous quarter.It’s a policy-induced disaster. Too much fiscal austerity and too little monetary stimulus have crippled growth like almost never before. Europe is doing worse than Japan during its “lost decade,” worse than the sterling bloc during the Great Depression, and barely better than the gold bloc then—though even that silver lining isn’t much of one. That’s because, at this rate, it’ll only be another year until the eurozone is well behind the gold bloc, too.So how is Europe making the Great Depression look like the good old days of growth? Easy: by ignoring everything we learned from it.
From; http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2014/08/20/worse-than-the-1930s-europes-recession-is-really-a-depression/

Posted on Thursday, September 18th 2014

NASA: Hottest August Globally Since Records Began In 1880
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Last month was the warmest August globally since records began being kept in 1880, NASA reportedMonday. The globe just keeps warming.
Over West Antarctica, however, it was so hot NASA had to put in the color brown to cover the 4°C to 8°C (7°F to over 14°F!) anomalous warmth.
NASA data shows 2014 year to date (January through August) is the fourth hottest on record. All the hotter years were either El Niño years or had an El Niño preceding them — there is a few-month delay between the peak El Niño temperature and peak global temperature.Because of global warming, all global temperature records will be broken (again and again and again and …). If there is an El Niño, this should happen even sooner.
From; http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2014/09/15/3567464/nasa-hottest-august/

NASA: Hottest August Globally Since Records Began In 1880
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Last month was the warmest August globally since records began being kept in 1880, NASA reportedMonday. The globe just keeps warming.
Over West Antarctica, however, it was so hot NASA had to put in the color brown to cover the 4°C to 8°C (7°F to over 14°F!) anomalous warmth.
NASA data shows 2014 year to date (January through August) is the fourth hottest on record. All the hotter years were either El Niño years or had an El Niño preceding them — there is a few-month delay between the peak El Niño temperature and peak global temperature.Because of global warming, all global temperature records will be broken (again and again and again and …). If there is an El Niño, this should happen even sooner.
From; http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2014/09/15/3567464/nasa-hottest-august/

Posted on Wednesday, September 17th 2014

Smoke from Russian Wildfires drifting over Greenland Ice. 
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fire, ice, soot, carbon: Dark Snow Project 2014. Wildfires release significant amounts of Carbon & Methane into the atmosphere. Causing Global Warming & More Wildfires. 
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Wildfire is a source of carbon dioxide, methane and black carbon to the atmosphere. Jacobson (2014) find that sourcing to be underestimated in earlier work. Graven et al. (2013) find northern forests absorbing and releasing more carbon by respiration due to Arctic warming’s effects on forest composition change. At the global scale, the land environment produces a net sink of carbon, taking up some 10% of the atmospheric carbon emissions due to fossil fuel combustion (IPCC, 2007). Yet, whether northern wildfire is becoming an important source of atmospheric carbon (whether from CO2 or CH4 methane) remains under investigation. University of Wisconsin-Madison researchers find:“fires shift the carbon balance in multiple ways. Burning organic matter quickly releases large amounts of carbon dioxide. After a fire, loss of the forest canopy can allow more sun to reach and warm the ground, which may speed decomposition and carbon dioxide emission from the soil. If the soil warms enough to melt underlying permafrost, even more stored carbon may be unleashed.“Historically, scientists believe the boreal forest has acted as a carbon sink, absorbing more atmospheric carbon dioxide than it releases, Gower says. Their model now suggests that, over recent decades, the forest has become a smaller sink and may actually be shifting toward becoming a carbon source.“The soil is the major source, the plants are the major sink, and how those two interplay over the life of a stand really determines whether the boreal forest is a sink or a source of carbon
From; http://www.meltfactor.org/blog/

Smoke from Russian Wildfires drifting over Greenland Ice.
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fire, ice, soot, carbon: Dark Snow Project 2014. Wildfires release significant amounts of Carbon & Methane into the atmosphere. Causing Global Warming & More Wildfires.
______________________________________

Wildfire is a source of carbon dioxide, methane and black carbon to the atmosphere. Jacobson (2014) find that sourcing to be underestimated in earlier work. Graven et al. (2013) find northern forests absorbing and releasing more carbon by respiration due to Arctic warming’s effects on forest composition change. At the global scale, the land environment produces a net sink of carbon, taking up some 10% of the atmospheric carbon emissions due to fossil fuel combustion (IPCC, 2007). Yet, whether northern wildfire is becoming an important source of atmospheric carbon (whether from CO2 or CH4 methane) remains under investigation. University of Wisconsin-Madison researchers find:“fires shift the carbon balance in multiple ways. Burning organic matter quickly releases large amounts of carbon dioxide. After a fire, loss of the forest canopy can allow more sun to reach and warm the ground, which may speed decomposition and carbon dioxide emission from the soil. If the soil warms enough to melt underlying permafrost, even more stored carbon may be unleashed.“Historically, scientists believe the boreal forest has acted as a carbon sink, absorbing more atmospheric carbon dioxide than it releases, Gower says. Their model now suggests that, over recent decades, the forest has become a smaller sink and may actually be shifting toward becoming a carbon source.“The soil is the major source, the plants are the major sink, and how those two interplay over the life of a stand really determines whether the boreal forest is a sink or a source of carbon
From; http://www.meltfactor.org/blog/

Posted on Wednesday, September 17th 2014

The U.S. National Debt Has Grown By More Than A Trillion Dollars In The Last 12 Months
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wotfigo; Woo Hoo. This is going to end well. Not. Your children’s children’s children will be paying this off with ever increasing poverty in their lives in the decades ahead. 
(Note; The graph above goes to 2012. The debt level has worsened since then as the headline describes).
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At $16.159 trillion, US National Debt is about 103% of GDP. By comparison, Spain, France, Germany, and most other Eurozone countries are below that level—and yet, they’re stuck in a debilitating debt crisis. Debt crises can only be solved or avoided by having a nearly balanced budget, by default, or by printing money and inviting its nasty sisters, inflation and devaluation. Those are the three choices the US has.As a country, we have lived high on the hog and fought wars, funded by debt. That is, we’ve robbed our future.Neither the Republicans nor the Democrats are promising the radical shifts in taxation and spending that would be required to fix this monster. Living within your means is painful after you’ve been on a borrowing binge. Many households have gone through that. It hurts. So no politician can expect to win an election by promising pain, however it may be distributed.The beneficiaries of the current debt-binge are everywhere, from single moms on food stamps to the richest corporations, like GE or Boeing that haven’t paid income taxes thanks to the corporate tax code. 
From; http://www.testosteronepit.com/home/2012/10/3/us-national-debt-in-a-year-ill-add-another-ugly-data-point.html

The U.S. National Debt Has Grown By More Than A Trillion Dollars In The Last 12 Months
________________________________________
wotfigo; Woo Hoo. This is going to end well. Not. Your children’s children’s children will be paying this off with ever increasing poverty in their lives in the decades ahead.
(Note; The graph above goes to 2012. The debt level has worsened since then as the headline describes).
________________________________________
At $16.159 trillion, US National Debt is about 103% of GDP. By comparison, Spain, France, Germany, and most other Eurozone countries are below that level—and yet, they’re stuck in a debilitating debt crisis. Debt crises can only be solved or avoided by having a nearly balanced budget, by default, or by printing money and inviting its nasty sisters, inflation and devaluation. Those are the three choices the US has.As a country, we have lived high on the hog and fought wars, funded by debt. That is, we’ve robbed our future.Neither the Republicans nor the Democrats are promising the radical shifts in taxation and spending that would be required to fix this monster. Living within your means is painful after you’ve been on a borrowing binge. Many households have gone through that. It hurts. So no politician can expect to win an election by promising pain, however it may be distributed.The beneficiaries of the current debt-binge are everywhere, from single moms on food stamps to the richest corporations, like GE or Boeing that haven’t paid income taxes thanks to the corporate tax code.
From; http://www.testosteronepit.com/home/2012/10/3/us-national-debt-in-a-year-ill-add-another-ugly-data-point.html

Posted on Wednesday, September 17th 2014

As the Global Economy Continues to Worsen, the Too Big to Fail Banks are Protected at the Cost of Everything & Everyone Else.

Europe’s problem is the entire western world’s problem: people don’t spend nearly enough to keep the economy growing. And it’s not as if nothing has been done to lure them into more spending. The thing is, you won’t get there by making them borrow. People will spend more only when they have more. But rapidly increasing numbers of them have precious little. And if they don’t spend, you’re not going to get more of the so-called inflation (which is defined as rising prices).It’s a dead end street, the whole thing. There’s only one school left in economics, and it was never a serious field to start with, let alone a science. But the nincompoops who emanate from the various schools and universities end up having an enormous influence on government and central bank policies, all at the cost of you and me. All they have is theories about how things should go, but nothing for when they don’t.Central banks exist to protect banks, and the banking system as a whole, from danger. They pretend that they protect the larger economy, and the people on Main Street, but that’s just a convenient little story. Enhanced by the idea that what is good for banks is also good for you. Which is absolute baloney, but it works like a charm.More often than not, banks’ interests are 180º opposites of Main Street, they certainly demonstrably have been since 2007. But then, how would you ever know? The Fed and Wall Street and Washington and all the media that are supposed to inform you but in reality promote only their propaganda, have got an iron grip on how the picture is painted.So what if the banks themselves are the danger, and not the real economy? Well, then you’re out of luck, because the first thing on the agenda is always to save the banks, no matter what its costs Main Street or the children of Main Street.And that’s why Janet Yellen holds stupid and insulting speeches like the one today. To tell you that she knows, but she just doesn’t care.
From; http://www.theautomaticearth.com/debt-rattle-aug-22-2014-janet-yellen-is-an-insult-to-americans/

Posted on Wednesday, September 17th 2014

Polar Warming is Double Global Average & Will Cause Extreme Weather Events in Lower Latitudes such as Last Winters Arctic Express.

There has been an ongoing debate, both in and outside the scientific community, whether rapid climate change in the Arctic might affect circulation patterns in the mid-latitudes, and thereby possibly the frequency or intensity of extreme weather events. The Arctic has been warming much faster than the rest of the globe (about twice the rate), associated with a rapid decline in sea-ice extent. If parts of the world warm faster than others then of course gradients in the horizontal temperature distribution will change – in this case the equator-to-pole gradient – which then could affect large scale wind patterns.Several dynamical mechanisms for this have been proposed recently. Francis and Vavrus (GRL 2012) argued that a reduction of the north-south temperature gradient would cause weaker zonal winds (winds blowing west to east) and therefore a slower eastward propagation of Rossby waves. A change in Rossby wave propagation has not yet been detected (Barnes 2013) but this does not mean that it will not change in the future. Slowly-traveling waves (or quasi-stationary waves) would lead to more persistent and therefore more extreme weather. Petoukhov et al (2013) actually showed that several recent high-impact extremes, both heat waves and flooding events, were associated with high-amplitude quasi-stationary waves.Intuitively it makes sense that slowly-propagating Rossby waves lead to more surface extremes. These waves form in the mid-latitudes at the boundary of cold air to the north and warm air to the south. Thus, with persistent strongly meandering isotherms, some regions will experience cold and others hot conditions. Moreover, slow wave propagation would prolong certain weather conditions and therefore lead to extremes on timescales of weeks: One day with temperatures over 30oC in say Western Europe is not really unusual, but 10 or 20 days in a row will be.But although it intuitively makes sense, the link between high-amplitude Rossby waves and surface extremes was so far not properly documented in a statistical way. It is this piece of the puzzle which is addressed in the new paper by Screen and Simmonds recently published in Nature Climate Change (“Amplified mid-latitude planetary waves favour particular regional weather extremes”).- See more at: http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2014/07/rossby-waves-and-surface-weather-extremes/#sthash.wFBl606c.dpuf

Posted on Tuesday, September 16th 2014

And Here’s a Word from Adolph on How To Brainwash the Masses; Chapter 4, Mein Kampf.
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wotfigo; we can recognize today’s political propaganda information from political parties and the mainstream media in the following quote from the Nazi Bible. 
You know, the usual lies of today such as;  there is strong economic recovery,  global warming is a hoax, Russia is invading Ukraine, environmental protection is saving the planet, Palestinians threaten Middle Eastern peace, the world will never run out of oil, weapons of mass destruction in Iraq, there is no overpopulation problem, we can feed 9 billion people,  economic growth forever is humanities salvation, & on & on ad nauseum. 
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The receptivity of the great masses is very limited, their intelligence is small, but their power of forgetting is enormous. In consequence of these facts, all effective propaganda must be limited to a very few points and must harp on these in slogans until the last member of the public understands what you want him to understand by your slogan. As soon as you sacrifice this slogan and try to be many-sided, the effect will piddle away, for the crowd can neither digest nor retain the material offered. In this way the result is weakened and in the end entirely cancelled out.
Adolf Hitler,  Mein Kampf Chapter 4.
Quoted from; http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-09-15/simple-primer-war-propaganda-unexpected-source

And Here’s a Word from Adolph on How To Brainwash the Masses; Chapter 4, Mein Kampf.
________________________________________
wotfigo; we can recognize today’s political propaganda information from political parties and the mainstream media in the following quote from the Nazi Bible.
You know, the usual lies of today such as; there is strong economic recovery, global warming is a hoax, Russia is invading Ukraine, environmental protection is saving the planet, Palestinians threaten Middle Eastern peace, the world will never run out of oil, weapons of mass destruction in Iraq, there is no overpopulation problem, we can feed 9 billion people, economic growth forever is humanities salvation, & on & on ad nauseum.
________________________________________
The receptivity of the great masses is very limited, their intelligence is small, but their power of forgetting is enormous. In consequence of these facts, all effective propaganda must be limited to a very few points and must harp on these in slogans until the last member of the public understands what you want him to understand by your slogan. As soon as you sacrifice this slogan and try to be many-sided, the effect will piddle away, for the crowd can neither digest nor retain the material offered. In this way the result is weakened and in the end entirely cancelled out.
Adolf Hitler, Mein Kampf Chapter 4.
Quoted from; http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-09-15/simple-primer-war-propaganda-unexpected-source

Posted on Tuesday, September 16th 2014

Climate Change: Record Drought and now Record Heat beating the heck out of California.
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California breaks all-time heat record – Heat alerts declared; cooling centers to open
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(Los Angeles Times) – The first eight months of 2014 were the warmest on average in California’s history since record-keeping began in 1895, federal scientists announced this week.The average temperature was 62.6 degrees in California over the time period, coming in at 1.1 degrees hotter than the previous high and more than 4 degrees warmer than the 20th century average, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration reported.Meanwhile, the state continues to suffer through one of its worst droughts ever and a record-breaking heat wave is forecast for the weekend.Temperatures across Los Angeles are expected to top out at 100 degrees through Monday.
From; http://www.desdemonadespair.net/2014/09/california-breaks-all-time-heat-record.html

Climate Change: Record Drought and now Record Heat beating the heck out of California.
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California breaks all-time heat record – Heat alerts declared; cooling centers to open
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(Los Angeles Times) – The first eight months of 2014 were the warmest on average in California’s history since record-keeping began in 1895, federal scientists announced this week.The average temperature was 62.6 degrees in California over the time period, coming in at 1.1 degrees hotter than the previous high and more than 4 degrees warmer than the 20th century average, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration reported.Meanwhile, the state continues to suffer through one of its worst droughts ever and a record-breaking heat wave is forecast for the weekend.Temperatures across Los Angeles are expected to top out at 100 degrees through Monday.
From; http://www.desdemonadespair.net/2014/09/california-breaks-all-time-heat-record.html

Posted on Monday, September 15th 2014

Yes there’s a drought in California. But there is also massive excess allocation of water resources. Right now, California allocates to Agriculture & Industry, 5 Times more water than its yearly rain & snow runoff. 
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According to a recent study by Theodore Grantham and Joshua Viers, both from the University of California, water right allocations total almost *five times* the state’s mean annual runoff, and account for up to 1000% of natural surface water supplies in the major river basins.It seems that there is a conflict brewing as“(…) the state simply does not have accurate knowledge of how much water is being used by most water rights holders. As such, it is nearly impossible to curtail or re-allocate water in an equitable manner among water users and to effectively manage for environmental water needs.”The stakes are very high now and out-of-the-box solutions are needed. Otherwise this time might turn out to be different indeed.
From; http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-08-22/california-droughts-then-and-now

Yes there’s a drought in California. But there is also massive excess allocation of water resources. Right now, California allocates to Agriculture & Industry, 5 Times more water than its yearly rain & snow runoff.
______________________________________
According to a recent study by Theodore Grantham and Joshua Viers, both from the University of California, water right allocations total almost *five times* the state’s mean annual runoff, and account for up to 1000% of natural surface water supplies in the major river basins.It seems that there is a conflict brewing as“(…) the state simply does not have accurate knowledge of how much water is being used by most water rights holders. As such, it is nearly impossible to curtail or re-allocate water in an equitable manner among water users and to effectively manage for environmental water needs.”The stakes are very high now and out-of-the-box solutions are needed. Otherwise this time might turn out to be different indeed.
From; http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-08-22/california-droughts-then-and-now

Posted on Monday, September 15th 2014

There’s No Economic Turnaround Because No One Has Any Money To Spend

Big Retailers Going Bankrupt.
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When you see the headlines touting strong retail sales, you need to consider what you are actually seeing in the real world. RadioShack will be filing for bankruptcy within months. Wet Seal will follow. Sears is about two years from a bankruptcy filing. JC Penney’s turnaround is a sham. They continue to lose hundreds of millions every quarter and will be filing for bankruptcy within the next couple years. Target and Wal-Mart continue to post awful sales results and have stopped expanding. And as you drive around in your leased BMW, you see more Space Available signs than operating outlets in every strip center in America.
From; http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-09-14/kohls-and-rest-retailers-are-deep-trouble

Posted on Monday, September 15th 2014